appeared to increase their belligerence towards the international community by
shutting down inspections of a rumored nuclear enrichment facility Friday the
24th of August, 2012 (Jahn). This led to apprehension spiking among
interested parties, as did the information that the number of centrifuges
located in Fordow is double what was previously reported (Torbati). Such a seemingly
dramatic increase in confrontational activity, given the historical rhetoric of
the rogue state towards Israel, show Iran to be an existential threat to the
Jewish state, America, and its allies (Kessler).
However, empirical evidence that a nuclear-armed
Iran can or will ever exist is weak and unsupported. No weapon is known to
exist, no weapon is likely to exist soon, and no weapon, once (inconceivably)
developed, can be delivered via ICBM by Iran in any meaningful timeframe.
Current sanctions and other regulatory efforts are isolating Iran even from its
allies. The “loose talk of war” is a strategy used by the American Right
intended to paint the current administration as weak on foreign policy to spice
up an exceedingly weak Republican nominee. Israel should avoid the Bush
Doctrine of first strike.
a Boston Review article, MIT professor Ted Postol stipulates that the
“ideological assumption of the extreme right of the Republican party” is that
there is a nation out there somewhere that can get a weapon of mass destruction,
find a way to deliver it and then deliver it, all without America ever noticing.
This nation does not care if it is destroyed, being so hell-bent on destroying
Israel or America.It is a ridiculous
notion that Israel feels threatened given America is its ally. Besides, this
idea that Iran is incapable of rational action is without successful precedent
now speaking of dangerous men faced down by American might (Hitler, Mao, Stalin),
Postol is unambiguous:
certainly showed a high degree of rationality with regard to the dangers these
weapons posed, even though I don't think that many people would regard them as
having been relatively gentle with their adversaries. So I don't really see a sudden
emergent threat of this kind: a threat of an irrational political leader, who
controls a state, does not care if the state is destroyed, has weapons of mass
destruction, and the ability to put those weapons on ballistic missiles. And if
you did come up against a threat of this kind, then you would have face the
facts about feasibility.”
is more than enough time for sanctions to continue-- six, maybe as long as
eight years that start anew each day America and Israel maintains their
vigilance. There is more than plenty of time for the current diplomatic agenda
to continue pushing towards compliance those partners, allies and even American
corporations that are working against Israel, America, and their joined
interests. The Royal Bank of Scotland (an 82% taxpayer-owned British Bank) and
Germany’s CommerzBank are both involved in current investigations; this
willingness to cooperate with American authorities to discover and rectify any misdealing
with Iran epitomizes American might (Scuffham and Gould).
impossible to understate in importance as a trading partner, is also making
moves to skirt the more recent and tougher sanctions. From a New York Times
article dated August 30th:
“Prosecutors say they have unearthed evidence
in recent international money-transfer investigations that Chinese banks may
have flouted United States sanctions against Iran. Now, as they investigate
global banks suspected of funneling billions of dollars through their American
branches to Iran and other sanctioned nations, the prosecutors are looking for
transactions that could offer more information on the banks’ dealings with Iran”
February of this year, a “Bloomberg Markets investigation [has] found that Koch
Industries -- in addition to being involved in improper payments to win
business in Africa, India and the Middle East -- has sold millions of dollars
of petrochemical equipment to Iran, a country the U.S. identifies as a sponsor
of global terrorism” (Loder and Evans). It
would do voters well to remember that the owners of Koch Industries, Charles
and David Koch, have pledged in excess of $400 million to defeat the incumbent
American President (Allen and Vandehei).
stated goal of the American Right for this Presidential Election season is to
smear President Obama as an ineffectual and unwise leader in foreign policy by describing
separation between Israel and America where there truly is no daylight. Rachel
Tabachnik, an author and expert on the impact of the Religious Right on foreign
policy, says, “The U.S. population is war weary, but some Americans view Iran
through the lens of End Times prophecy and believe that war with Iran is part
of that timeline.” These are the voters Condoleezza Rice was
likely reaching out to when, at the Republican National Convention, the former
Secretary of State intimated that Barack Obama was “muting” America’s voice by
not assigning military might to intervene in support of Israel. Former Bush
advisor Karl Rove and current Romney senior advisor Ed Gillespie gave a strong
admonition in March of this year that the best Republican hope to win the general
election is a nationalistic campaign depicting the President as naïve or
incompetent on foreign policy. The intensifying of rhetorical violence between
perennial enemies, given the relative impossibility of a weapon existing or
being delivered, is reasonably seen more as a campaign strategy and less a surfacing
threat to America’s ally (Rove and Gillespie).
is as nationalistic than war-mongering, and rarely has it been so proudly on
display as it was during Republican nominee Mitt Romney’s acceptance speech to
delegates at the Republican National Convention Thursday night (“RNC 2012”). The
would-be President took aggressive verbal swipes at Iran, China, and Putin too!
The current President showed exceptional leadership in this area when he warned
earlier this year that “loose talk of war” only serves to embolden Iran and
their position (Cooper).
former senior military officials took out a full-page ad in the Washington Postin March 2012, advising against military
intervention in Iran (“Former”). Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Martin
Dempsey also has lobbied publicly and consistently for patience of the part of Israeli
leaders. Romney, on the other hand, has surrounded himself with advisors split
on the issue (Rogin). Voters will do wise to take this into consideration as
well when discussing possible World War with their families, neighbors, and
communities at large
Israel should not strike any suspected nuclear facility in Iran. Let America be
exceptional, let America lead, let America continue leading through sanctions
enforcement and promised military might. The threat America and her allies face
is indeed a “muted voice” should Israel preemptively strike Iran.
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Senior Military Officials Sign Full-page Ad Opposing ‘War Of Choice With
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George. “UN Agency Confirms Iran Expands Nuke Work and Shrouds Site,
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Asjylyn and David Evans. “Koch Brothers Flout Law Getting Richer With Secret
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Theodore. “What’s Wrong With Missile Defense: An Interview With Ted Postol” by
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Aug. 2012. Television.
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Matt and Jonathan Gould. “RBS, Commerzbank Drawn Into U.S. Iran Money Probe.”
Reuters.com. Thomson Reuters, 22 Aug. 2012. Web. 30 Aug. 2012
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Rachel. Personal Interview. 30 Aug. 2012
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